Publications and Research Outputs

Although the full list of research outputs is available from my extended CV, below are as many pdfs of these research outputs that can be made available. Alternatively, a detailed listing with some full text attachments is available on Research Gate.

South Africa’s Energy Sector Investment Requirements to Achieve Energy Security and Net Zero Goals by 2050

Last week we launched the results of this amazing three year research project that was jointly undertaken by the National Planning Commission, Presidential Climate Commission, Development Bank of Southern Africa and the SA-TIED research partnership which is led by National Treasury. The project was coordinated by a Steering Committee comprising reps from the four partners – I represented the National Planning Commission, but I am also Co-Lead with Georgina Ryan (National Treasury) of Workstream 5 of the SA-TIED partnership. I also participated heavily in the Technical Committee that drafted the assumptions and scenarios for the modelling work. Although the four institutional partners are the authors of this report, I was deeply involved in the coordination of the research and the writing up of the various drafts. I therefore count these reports as part of my own research output. There are four reports: a literature review; a main report comprising three modelled scenarios, a policy and regulatory review, and a market sounding; a CGE modelling of the socio-economic impacts of the energy transition; and micro-economic analysis of the impact of the energy transition on Mpumalanga.

Literature Review: Lit review

Main Report: NPC Energy

CGE model and micro-economic study of Mpumalanga: CGE Study & Haroon

South Africa’s Monetary Architecture, 1983-2024

Swilling, M. & Murau, S. (2025) South Africa’s Monetary Architecture, 1983-2024. Pretoria: National Planning Commission.

Nearly years in the making, this report for the National Planning Commission is the first-ever attempt to develop a complex systems approach for understanding the architecture of South Africa’s financial eco-system. It has made a significant impact in the NPC and in the media, and there is considerable interest from institutional investors and public investment institutions.

Download:

20251027_NPC REPORT_FINANCIAL ARCHITECTURE

CST Annual Report

Very proud to see this Annual Report – captures a dream come true! Such a privilege to work with a team that makes this all possible. But the loss of the SI leaves a deep sadness in my heart – that place transformed the lives of so many. But our amazing work continues.

US CST Annual Report_WEB_FINAL

Investing the Just and Sustainable Transition in Africa

I worked with Prof Desta Mebratu to draft this report. Although some of our key ideas were edited out in the end, the core logic remains valid. Quite amazing to see UNECA publish a report like this given its role in replicating macro-economic policies that have traditionally had no place for sustainability. Click on links below for access:

UNECA Summary UNECO Report